jballs@sh.itjust.workstoNews@lemmy.world•Hurricanes like Helene twice as likely to happen due to global heating, data findsEnglish
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1 day agoI’m not smart enough to understand the difference of the “twice as likely” in the title and the “200-500 times more likely” in the subtitle.
The article also says “The burning of fossil fuels has made storms as severe as Hurricane Helene about 2.5 times more likely than they were in the pre-industrial age”.
And then says “A study by Climate Central published on Monday found the sea surface temperature around Milton’s path was 400-800 times more likely because of the climate crisis.”
What does that mean, that the sea surface temperature was more likely?
Ok, I read the linked sources from the article and think I understand this a bit better now.
I believe the twice as likely number from the headline is coming from this:
And I think the 200-500 times more likely number is referring to Sea Surface Temperatures that lead to major storms. So something like (and this is me talking, not how it’s worded in any of the source material) “when the Sea Surface Temperature is at 69° F then major hurricanes can be produced, and due to climate change, we’re getting temperatures that high 200-500 times more than we used to.”
I hope I interpreted that correctly.